Earnings Options Radar
Unusual short-dated options positioning ahead of earnings · Not investment advice
Research lead, not investment advice
A flag means something unusual happened here and is worth a closer look — it does not mean
someone has inside knowledge or a guaranteed edge. Free data cannot confirm which side of a
trade was the aggressor (bought vs. sold), and a genuine high-conviction bet can look
structurally identical, in timing and shape, to an ordinary hedge against an existing position.
Directional accuracy
14/33 (42%)
— did the stock move the flagged way, one vote per earnings event
Contract outcome
3/39 (8%)
— did the flagged contract make money by expiry, one vote per contract
| Ticker | Type | Strike / Expiry | Earnings | Vol / OI | Premium at Risk | Implied vs Typical | Score | Outcome | Confluence | Alert | Scanned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | call |
$86.00 · 09/10/2026
near-OTM (2.2%) · 36% of chain volume
|
09/10/2026 | 5923 / 0 | $1.3M |
±7.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.83× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (15362C/1106P)21.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total59/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
02/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
DAL
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.4M
(90th pct)
Concentration 47% of flow
(85th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$87.00 · 09/10/2026
near-OTM (3.4%) · 47% of chain volume
|
09/10/2026 | 7672 / 0 | $1.4M |
±7.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.83× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (15362C/1106P)21.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total59/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
02/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| UEC | call |
$10.50 · 02/10/2026
far-OTM (11.6%) · 58% of chain volume
|
29/09/2026 | 6417 / 444 (14.5x) | $64K |
±8.6% implied
vs ±4.9% typical (n=8)
1.76× — expensive
|
56
Call/put imbalance (7249C/4285P)6.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total56/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.6% Win | — | Skipped |
27/09/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
KR
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.0M
(88th pct)
Concentration 46% of flow
(85th pct)
Score 71/100
(83rd pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$60.00 · 11/09/2026
near-OTM (2.4%) · 46% of chain volume
|
09/09/2026 | 9036 / 439 (20.6x) | $1.0M |
±5.6% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.10× — fairly priced
|
71
Call/put imbalance (18380C/1476P)21.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
07/09/2026
flagged 3 days ↑
|
| KR | call |
$61.00 · 11/09/2026
near-OTM (4.1%) · 45% of chain volume
|
09/09/2026 | 8896 / 452 (19.7x) | $694K |
±5.6% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.10× — fairly priced
|
71
Call/put imbalance (18380C/1476P)21.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
07/09/2026
flagged 3 days ↑
|
|
DOCU
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 61% of flow
(86th pct)
IV 97%
(84th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$70.00 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (9.4%) · 61% of chain volume
|
03/09/2026 | 1787 / 135 (13.2x) | $270K |
±11.5% implied
vs ±5.8% typical (n=8)
1.97× — expensive
|
62
Call/put imbalance (2192C/736P)12.4 pts
Short interest (5.3d cover)11.8 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total62/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +4.6% Win | — | Dry run |
29/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| IOT | put |
$39.50 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (4.0%) · 25% of chain volume
|
03/09/2026 | 319 / 0 | $51K |
±11.2% implied
vs ±14.7% typical (n=8)
0.76× — cheap
|
40
Call/put imbalance (702C/569P)2.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total40/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +9.3% Miss | — | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
AI
⚡
Volume 41,146
4.0σ above normal (97.6th pct)
Premium $2.1M
3.2σ above normal (97.6th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
4 signals elevated together:
Score 87/100
(99th pct)
Premium $2.1M
(98th pct)
IV 136%
(94th pct)
Vol/OI 20.8x
extreme by market norms (>20x)
81st pct within flagged set
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$11.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (4.5%) · 31% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 41146 / 1981 (20.8x) | $2.1M |
±13.5% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.05× — fairly priced
|
87
Call/put imbalance (133331C/822P)24.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total87/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Skipped |
30/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
AI
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Score 75/100
(96th pct)
Baseline Multiple 7.7x
(93rd pct)
Premium $956K
(84th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$11.50 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (9.2%) · 19% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 25152 / 0 | $956K |
±13.5% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.05× — fairly priced
|
75
Call/put imbalance (133331C/822P)24.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total75/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Dry run |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AI | call |
$10.50 · 04/09/2026
ATM (1.6%) · 34% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 1209 / 0 | $73K |
±13.4% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.04× — fairly priced
|
62
Call/put imbalance (2746C/997P)11.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total62/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Skipped |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
AVGO
⚡
Premium $20.7M
6.6σ above normal (98.9th pct)
→ extreme bullish positioning
|
call |
$370.00 · 04/09/2026
ATM (0.3%) · 23% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 14319 / 0 | $20.7M |
±8.1% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.64× — expensive
|
54
Call/put imbalance (47295C/17285P)11.6 pts
Short interest (3.2d cover)17.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total54/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -3.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| HPE | call |
$55.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (5.1%) · 19% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 3133 / 0 | $605K |
±11.4% implied
vs ±6.7% typical (n=8)
1.71× — expensive
|
50
Call/put imbalance (12809C/4060P)13.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total50/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +7.0% Win | — | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| LULU | call |
$127.00 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (10.4%) · 24% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 1038 / 0 | $195K |
±10.0% implied
vs ±10.3% typical (n=8)
0.98× — fairly priced
|
45
Call/put imbalance (2671C/1718P)5.4 pts
Short interest (4.4d cover)14.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total45/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +3.2% Win | — | Skipped |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
CRDO
⚡
Premium $1.8M
3.8σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.8M
(98th pct)
Baseline Multiple 26.9x
(98th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$230.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (3.3%)
|
01/09/2026 | 1223 / 0 | $1.8M | — |
62
Call/put imbalance (2784C/727P)14.6 pts
Short interest (1.0d cover)22.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total62/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -27.0% Miss | Low | Dry run |
25/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
MDT
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 76% of flow
(96th pct)
Premium $500K
(82nd pct)
→ bearish positioning
|
put |
$87.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (3.3%) · 76% of chain volume
|
01/09/2026 | 5152 / 0 | $500K |
±5.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.34× — fairly priced
|
58
Call/put imbalance (624C/6157P)20.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total58/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +1.7% Miss | High | Dry run |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
MDB
⚡
OTM % 43.4%
3.4σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
|
call |
$577.50 · 04/09/2026
deep-OTM (43.4%)
|
01/09/2026 | 698 / 0 | $149K | — |
48
Call/put imbalance (1405C/1098P)3.1 pts
Short interest (2.1d cover)19.7 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total48/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -17.2% Miss | — | Dry run |
25/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| MDT | call |
$93.00 · 04/09/2026
ATM (1.9%) · 34% of chain volume
|
01/09/2026 | 2191 / 200 (11.0x) | $359K |
±4.9% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.23× — fairly priced
|
40
Call/put imbalance (3637C/2953P)2.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total40/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +1.7% Win | Low | Skipped |
30/08/2026
flagged 2 days →
|
|
S
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Score 72/100
(96th pct)
Concentration 75% of flow
(94th pct)
IV 125%
(90th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$24.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (13.3%)
|
27/08/2026 | 3457 / 276 (12.5x) | $156K | — |
72
Call/put imbalance (4318C/304P)21.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total72/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.0% Win | — | Dry run |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
WDAY
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $966K
(91st pct)
Score 70/100
(81st pct)
→ bearish positioning, insider confluence present
|
put |
$180.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (10.0%)
|
27/08/2026 | 6037 / 323 (18.7x) | $966K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (1807C/15909P)19.9 pts
Short interest (5.1d cover)12.2 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total70/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +7.3% Miss | High | Skipped |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
IREN
⚡
Open Interest 2,305
3.9σ above normal (97.1th pct)
Volume 19,185
3.4σ above normal (97.1th pct)
→ high bearish positioning
|
put |
$27.00 · 28/08/2026
deep-OTM (35.5%)
|
27/08/2026 | 19185 / 2305 (8.3x) | $58K | — |
61
Call/put imbalance (48273C/38644P)2.8 pts
Short interest (1.9d cover)20.3 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total61/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -10.4% Win | — | Skipped |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| RBRK | call |
$105.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (7.7%)
|
27/08/2026 | 252 / 0 | $96K | — |
52
Call/put imbalance (714C/191P)14.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total52/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -3.2% Miss | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADSK | call |
$277.50 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (9.3%)
|
27/08/2026 | 202 / 0 | $69K | — |
44
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total44/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.3% Win | High | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| WDAY | call |
$200.00 · 28/08/2026
ATM (1.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 327 / 0 | $240K | — |
42
Call/put imbalance (810C/552P)4.7 pts
Short interest (5.1d cover)12.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total42/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +7.3% Win | High | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADSK | call |
$265.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (4.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 452 / 0 | $334K | — |
31
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total31/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.3% Win | High | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 3 days ↓
|
| ADSK | put |
$225.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (11.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 445 / 0 | $85K | — |
31
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total31/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +2.3% Miss | — | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↓
|
| HPQ | put |
$29.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (2.4%)
|
26/08/2026 | 2627 / 199 (13.2x) | $284K | — |
65
Call/put imbalance (1539C/6143P)15.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total65/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +0.4% Miss | High | Dry run |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| SNPS | call |
$410.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (3.0%)
|
26/08/2026 | 563 / 0 | $613K | — |
61
Call/put imbalance (1716C/358P)16.4 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.4 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total61/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +13.7% Win | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| SNPS | call |
$467.50 · 28/08/2026
deep-OTM (17.5%)
|
26/08/2026 | 559 / 0 | $81K | — |
60
Call/put imbalance (1482C/338P)15.7 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.4 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total60/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +13.7% Win | — | Dry run |
24/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| PDD | call |
$100.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (11.7%)
|
24/08/2026 | 3159 / 0 | $208K | — |
48
Call/put imbalance (5998C/2106P)12.0 pts
Short interest (5.6d cover)11.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total48/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AAP | call |
$62.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (8.1%)
|
20/08/2026 | 5993 / 0 | $1.4M | — |
68
Call/put imbalance (13797C/2331P)17.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total68/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.6% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ZIM | call |
$30.50 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (5.9%)
|
19/08/2026 | 3041 / 0 | $70K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (8943C/885P)20.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total70/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -4.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
18/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ZIM | call |
$29.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (3.1%)
|
19/08/2026 | 2273 / 377 (6.0x) | $102K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (5875C/645P)20.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total70/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -4.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TJX | put |
$149.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (2.0%)
|
19/08/2026 | 1207 / 194 (6.2x) | $246K | — |
47
Call/put imbalance (1002C/2148P)9.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total47/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -6.7% Win | High | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADI | call |
$395.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (3.6%)
|
19/08/2026 | 785 / 0 | $637K | — |
46
Call/put imbalance (1153C/1353P)2.0 pts
Short interest (2.3d cover)19.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total46/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -1.7% Miss | Low | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
INBX
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
IV 128%
(93rd pct)
Concentration 45% of flow
(87th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$100.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (13.2%)
|
19/08/2026 | 316 / 34 (9.3x) | $63K | — |
35
Call/put imbalance (673C/30P)22.9 pts
Short interest (15.6d cover)0.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total35/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +4.8% Win | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KLAR | call |
$21.00 · 21/08/2026
ATM (1.5%)
|
18/08/2026 | 738 / 0 | $123K | — |
71
Call/put imbalance (4254C/325P)21.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KLAR | call |
$24.00 · 21/08/2026
deep-OTM (16.1%)
|
18/08/2026 | 1063 / 0 | $69K | — |
71
Call/put imbalance (4254C/325P)21.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total71/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| BIDU | put |
$91.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (12.6%)
|
18/08/2026 | 11785 / 0 | $177K | — |
58
Call/put imbalance (20369C/35131P)6.6 pts
Short interest (4.3d cover)14.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total58/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -10.8% Win | High | Dry run |
18/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TOL | put |
$145.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (2.2%)
|
18/08/2026 | 525 / 69 (7.6x) | $152K | — |
53
Call/put imbalance (134C/610P)16.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total53/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +2.2% Miss | High | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KEYS | call |
$390.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (10.2%)
|
18/08/2026 | 150 / 0 | $91K | — |
43
Call/put imbalance (452C/282P)5.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total43/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -11.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AS | put |
$32.50 · 21/08/2026
ATM (1.9%)
|
18/08/2026 | 783 / 0 | $117K | — |
42
Call/put imbalance (4231C/21421P)16.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total42/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +4.5% Miss | High | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
BBW
⚡
Concentration 93% of flow
3.2σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 93% of flow
(98th pct)
Score 73/100
(98th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$40.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (4.3%)
|
17/08/2026 | 1061 / 85 (12.5x) | $53K | — |
73
Call/put imbalance (1101C/41P)23.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total73/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.3% Miss | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|